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How climate change is driving individuals to migrate within their own countries.

Analyzing over 107,000 migration flows within 72 countries between 1960 and 2016, the research indicates that as droughts worsen and regions become drier, the movement of people increases. A new study published in Nature Climate Change reveals that millions are relocating within their own countries due to changing climate conditions. Conducted by an international team led by Marco Percoco of Bocconi University, the research found that a 1-standard-deviation increase in aridity correlates with a 9.3% rise in out-migration rates, particularly impacting Southern Europe, South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

"When faced with environmental pressures like prolonged dryness, many people view migration as their least bad option," explains Percoco. Rural communities, especially those reliant on agriculture, are most affected by climate changes. Drying soils and diminishing water supplies directly impact livelihoods, often prompting migration toward urban areas. Cities become hubs for those fleeing drought-stricken regions, reshaping urban landscapes and straining existing infrastructure.

The relationship between climate and migration is complex. Wealthier nations display higher overall migration rates, possibly due to more affordable travel options. However, within these nations, the poorest regions typically experience the highest out-migration rates. Age, education, and regional context also influence migration patterns. Younger adults and those with secondary education are often the first to leave poorer areas, while in wealthier countries, older populations surprisingly tend to relocate in response to environmental changes.

As drought emerges as a more prevalent driver of migration, the researchers stress the necessity for proactive strategies. They advocate for enhanced support systems in urban areas to accommodate climate migrants and policies that assist rural communities in adapting locally. "We need to think ahead and ensure that cities can handle this influx, providing housing, jobs, and services for those displaced by environmental stress," Percoco advises.

The study challenges traditional views of migration as mainly economic or conflict-driven, highlighting the increasing importance of environmental factors in shaping human mobility patterns.